Define Energy Independence
The two Presidential candidates are debating energy.
If you look at the State by State polls, you will notice that Michigan, Nevada & New Mexico are perfect battleground States where we can market alternative energy in positive ways; it might give us, as Dems & Independents, the extra excitement that is needed to win those States. We can also do away with the many myths surrounding alternative energy.
I see hybrid cars & higher cafe standards as the key to the road to victory in suburban Detroit.
What has happened is the automobile industry have been undermined by the two oil men looking to prop up their oil friends while convincing the auto execs to believe that big gas guzzlers are the wave of the future.
As far as I am concerned, I see the automobiles that get 45 to 50 miles per gallon in the same light as the computer in the 1990's. All they need is a president to market the idea to the average American.
I can envision only filling up once a month, because my car gets between 45 to 50 miles per gallon. I also see a limited number of stores with gas pumps.
Many conservative thinkers have been manipulated to believe solar is a boondoggle, because repubs like Rush Limbaugh trickled down the flawed logic that encourages them to hate environmentalist & their ideas.
I believe marketing solar energy in Nevada & New Mexico will inspire voters to vote for Democrats & the homes with solar panels makes it possible for the owner or renter of a home to save money.
The extra money makes it possible for the owner or renter to spend on its family or pay other bills.
Many conservatives are like my local radio talk show host. He spent years slamming solar energy; he is now marketing solar energy; he has a commercial talking about his one dollar power bill he got from owning a solar panel.
Our candidates should market our ideas in ways that encourages voters to research what is being told to them, instead of depending on master manipulators like Sean Hannity to think for them.
We should go out our ways to give living examples how conservatives manipulate the masses with their madness. Just as Barack Obama pointed out how the repubs were blowing the tire gauge issue out of context.
I would like to conclude by using the old school movie called the exorcist to make a point.
When the priest went in to conduct the exorcism on the young possessed woman, she changed into many different characters & showed multiple attitudes, hoping to manipulate the priest. But, priest fought the good fight until he free the young woman from the demon(s).
No, conservatives aren't demons, but they are bickering, whining & spinning in an attempt to keep power. We should stay vigilant by fighting the good fight like the priest in the Exorcist. Our victory wont solve all of our/America's problems, but it is the first step needed to put American back on the right path.
- BLACK CELL's blog
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Right On
Black Cell, once again, you're making a lot of sense. America is blessed with vast areas of land where solar energy will be ideal to deploy. America is blessed with vast spaces to harness the power of the wind. And here in the Northwest, we have a huge potential to tap into the heat of the earth itself with the geothermal resources that lie beneath the Cascade mountains. 'Alternative' energy is about to go 'mainstream'. We can have a leader like Obama who will be able to help usher in this new era. Or, we can have a leader like John McCain, who just 4 years ago proposed a bill to hurt the wind power industry. I think the choice is pretty clear.
Thank You Wayne in WA State
They actually thought they were going to win the energy debate. Their base is starting to critically analyze what their leaders are saying; the repubs leaders are looking like sellouts.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
URL Changed.
http://thepoliticoinsider.blogspot.com/
I second Wayne's praise
I second Wayne's comment praising Black Cell.
T. Boone Pickens, among others, has called America's Great Plains the "Saudi Arabia of Wind Power."
(see http://www.pickensplan.com/theplan/)
The Repugs pin their hopes on chicanery like "gas tax holidays" and "offshore drilling" which are easily exposed as the oil-company-enrichment schemes they really are.
(Worth reading, Robert Reich's blog post on the subject:
http://robertreich.blogspot.com/2008/08/questions-and-answers-on-what-to...)
Myths and falsehoods about oil policies
In reporting on high gas prices and initiatives that have been proposed to address the issue, the media have repeated or failed to challenge several myths, falsehoods, and claims contradicted by government agencies. Many of the media-advanced myths and falsehoods have promoted the notion that lifting the current moratorium on offshore drilling and expanding domestic drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) will have an immediate impact on rising gas prices.
1. Opening additional acres for offshore drilling will lower today's oil and gasoline prices
After successive speeches from Sen. John McCain and President Bush in which they both called for an increase in offshore oil drilling, many major news outlets have uncritically reported the suggestion by drilling proponents that lifting the federal moratorium will have an immediate effect on fuel prices, without noting that, in its Annual Energy Outlook 2007, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimated the effects of allowing the moratorium to expire in 2012 and said that "access to the Pacific, Atlantic, and eastern Gulf regions would not have a significant impact on domestic crude oil and natural gas production or prices before 2030. Leasing would begin no sooner than 2012, and production would not be expected to start before 2017." June 23 articles in The Washington Post and New York Times, as well as July 15 articles in the Los Angeles Times and Washington Post, reporting on suggestions that offshore drilling would lower oil and gas prices, made no mention of the EIA's findings. By contrast, a July 14 Post article did note the EIA's conclusions, although that article appeared on the front page under a headline -- "Offshore Drilling Backed as Remedy for Oil Prices" -- whose suggestion of short-term effects was contradicted by the article itself.
2. Opening ANWR to drilling will impact today's oil and gasoline prices
Suggestions that opening federally protected ANWR to drilling will help lower today's gas prices also frequently go unchallenged by news media outlets. For instance, while discussing Bush's trip to the U.S.-European Union summit on MSNBC Live, anchor Contessa Brewer said Bush "will push for help from our European partners on the oil front" and aired a video clip of Bush saying, "The United States has an opportunity to help increase the supply of oil on the market, therefore taking pressure off gasoline for our hard-working Americans, and that I've proposed to the Congress that they open up ANWR, and open up the continental shelf, and give this country a chance to help us through this difficult period."
But in its May 2008 "Analysis of Crude Oil Production in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge," the EIA concluded that oil drilling in ANWR would not impact the U.S. oil supply for at least a decade: "The opening of the ANWR 1002 Area to oil and natural gas development is projected to increase domestic crude oil production starting in 2018" [emphasis added]. Further, the report says: "This analysis assumes that enactment of the legislation in 2008 would result in first production from the ANWR area in 10 years, i.e., 2018." Further, based on its Annual Energy Outlook 2008 report, EIA estimated that the opening of ANWR would reduce the price of imported low-sulfur, light crude oil by $0.75 per barrel in 2025 (in the "mean oil resource case"), from a predicted reference case price of $64.49. As of the close of trading on August 13, the price of oil settled at $116 per barrel.
3. No oil was spilled offshore as a result of Hurricane Katrina
Proponents of lifting the moratorium on certain offshore drilling have on several occasions falsely claimed that no oil was spilled offshore during Hurricane Katrina -- with no challenge from cable news anchors; at least one Fox News contributor has also made this false claim. In fact, as Media Matters has noted, a 2007 report prepared for the U.S. Minerals Management Service (MMS) by the international consulting firm Det Norske Veritas found that damage related to Hurricane Katrina resulted in 70 spills from outer continental shelf structures with a total volume spilled of approximately 5,552 barrels of petroleum products. The study specifically identified damage from Katrina to 27 platforms and rigs that resulted in approximately 2,843 barrels of spilled petroleum products. The combined impacts of hurricanes Katrina and Rita on outer continental shelf structures in the Gulf of Mexico, according to the report, were "124 spills ... with a total volume of roughly 17,700 barrels of total petroleum products."
On Fox News' Fox & Friends, former Republican presidential candidate and Fox News contributor Mike Huckabee falsely asserted, "When Katrina, a Cat-5 hurricane, hit the Gulf Coast, not one drop of oil was spilled off of those rigs out in the Gulf of Mexico." The claim has also been promulgated on MSNBC. NBC News chief foreign affairs correspondent Andrea Mitchell has twice allowed guests to claim that Hurricane Katrina did not result in any oil spills. On the June 24 edition of MSNBC Live, Mitchell did not challenge Sen. Richard Burr's (R-NC) false assertion that "there wasn't a drop" of oil spilled in the Gulf of Mexico due to a Category 5 hurricane. And during a July 15 interview on MSNBC Live, Mitchell did not challenge energy lobbyist and former Sen. Trent Lott's (R-MS) false claim that "[w]e didn't have one drop of oil spilt when we had the biggest hurricane in, you know, recent history, Hurricane Katrina."
However, on the July 17 edition of MSNBC Live, anchor David Shuster did confront McCain senior policy adviser Nancy Pfotenhauer about her past use of the false claim on MSNBC. Shuster said: "Earlier this week on this program, though, you defended offshore drilling and said, quote, 'We withstood Hurricanes Rita and Katrina and did not spill a drop.' In fact, the U.S. Mineral Management Service said that Katrina and Rita caused 124 offshore spills for a total of more than 743,000 gallons of oil and refined products spilled. So, Nancy, do you want to take back what you said?" Pfotenhauer replied: "Right. Well, I actually do. I was misinformed, and my embarrassment aside, the point is still that we had a remarkable performance."
4. "Natural seepage" of oil into the ocean means oil spills have insignificant environmental impact
Some in the media have cited reports finding that more oil leaks into the water from "natural seepage" than from oil tanker and offshore drilling accidents to suggest that the damage caused by spills is comparatively insignificant. But a report by the County of Santa Barbara discussing the effects of natural seepage and oil spills, including a 1969 oil spill off the Santa Barbara coast that released an estimated 80,000 to 100,000 barrels of oil, stated that "major spills can have far greater" environmental impact than seeps have, as the blog Think Progress noted.
In a July 12 Wall Street Journal op-ed, Manchester Union Leader editorial page editor Andrew Cline wrote that a "joint study by NASA and the Smithsonian Institution, examining several decades' worth of data, found that more oil seeps into the ocean naturally than from accidents involving tankers and offshore drilling. Natural seepage from underwater oil deposits leaks an average of 62 million gallons a year; offshore drilling, on the other hand, accounted for only 15 million gallons, the smallest source of oil leaking into the oceans." Likewise, during the July 15 edition of Fox News' Special Report, correspondent William La Jeunesse stated: "Almost 40 years later [after the Santa Barbara spill], the National Academy of Sciences says mother nature spills more oil into the environment than Exxon, Shell, B.P., and Chevron combined -- 63 percent of all oil in U.S. coastal waters comes from natural seepage from cracks in the earth; 32 percent from consumers in their boats and runoff from cities; 4 percent from oil tankers; and just 1 percent from offshore platforms."
However, in a 2002 report, the Santa Barbara County Planning and Development Energy Division stated that a "comparison of the impacts of seeps and spills based solely on volume would be misleading. The evidence is clear that, far from being invisible against a background of seeps, major spills can have far greater and qualitatively different impacts on the environment than do seeps."
From the report:
A comparison of the impacts of natural oil seeps versus oil spills involves much more than determining the volume of oil released. Natural oil seeps in the Santa Barbara Channel introduce substantial volumes of hydrocarbons into the marine environment. Seepage rates may be on the order of 100 barrels of oil per day. Most spills associated with oil production offshore of Santa Barbara County have been small during the years since the catastrophic 1969 Santa Barbara oil spill. The Minerals Management Service estimates that total combined spill volume for the 841 reported spills between 1970 and 1999 was about 830 barrels. However, a comparison of the impacts of seeps and spills based solely on volume would be misleading. The evidence is clear that, far from being invisible against a background of seeps, major spills can have far greater and qualitatively different impacts on the environment than do seeps.
The county concluded: "Natural seeps and spills differ in that seep rates do not, on average, exceed the marine environment's capacity to digest the oil, whereas spills may exceed its capacity. Major spills overwhelm nature's mechanisms for processing the oil, in the short term. The consequences include severe oiling of shorelines and mortality to organisms that are ill-prepared to live in an oil-soaked environment."
5. China is drilling for oil 60 miles off the coast of Florida
In the June 5 edition of The Washington Post column, columnist George Will falsely asserted, "Drilling is underway 60 miles off Florida. The drilling is being done by China, in cooperation with Cuba, which is drilling closer to South Florida than U.S. companies are." Vice President Dick Cheney made a similar claim -- citing Will's column-- about China drilling off the coast of Florida in a June 11 speech to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, but according to an Associated Press article the following day, Cheney's office issued a statement saying he was mistaken. The AP reported that the statement said: "It is our understanding that, although Cuba has leased out exploration blocks 60 miles off the coast of southern Florida, which is closer than American firms are allowed to operate in that area, no Chinese firm is drilling there." The article stated that "Jorge Pinon, a senior energy fellow at the University of Miami specializing in Latin America, said Cuba has awarded offshore oil leases, or concessionary blocs, in its offshore waters to six oil companies -- none of them Chinese -- and soon may announce an agreement with Brazil's state oil company, Petrobras." It further reported that Pinon said, "But no one is currently drilling in any of those concessions." Will issued a correction to his claim in a June 17 column.
Despite the statement from Cheney's office, Fox News' Sean Hannity claimed on the June 16 edition of his nationally syndicated radio program: "[W]e've got China, you know, joining with Cuba, they're drilling 60 miles off our shores of Florida."
6. Obama's energy strategy consists only of keeping tires properly inflated
During the July 31 edition of Fox News' Hannity & Colmes, Fox News contributor and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) repeatedly mischaracterized Sen. Barack Obama's energy policy, falsely suggesting that Obama's only "energy strategy" was to encourage people to keep the tires on their vehicles properly inflated and asserting that Obama "suggested if we all inflated our tires, that we would solve the problem." He said to guest co-host Kirsten Powers, "[D]o you really think that inflating your tires is a rational energy strategy?" Later in the show, Gingrich also suggested that Obama's energy policy was limited to "inflate here, inflate now, avoid reality" and "inflate here, inflate now, pretend it doesn't exist."
But as Media Matters has noted, during the July 30 campaign event in which he told the audience that "there are things you can do individually to save energy" such as "making sure your tires are properly inflated," Obama also mentioned proposals such as "help[ing] incentivize consumers" to transition to more fuel-efficient cars, developing new technologies, "work[ing] with the auto industry in developing some of these new technologies and plug-in hybrids," and "put[ting] people back to work building windmills and setting up wind turbines." Moreover, Obama's "Plan for a Clean Energy Future" on his campaign's website includes proposals to "invest $150 billion over 10 years in clean energy," "improve energy efficiency 50 percent by 2030," "support next generation biofuels," "double fuel economy standards within 18 years," "investigate market manipulation in oil futures," and enact a windfall profits tax on oil companies, the revenue from which "will be invested in a number of measures to reduce the burden of rising prices on families."
Gingrich's ridicule of Obama's suggestion aside, fueleconomy.gov, a website maintained jointly by the Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Energy, states: "You can improve your gas mileage by around 3.3 percent by keeping your tires inflated to the proper pressure. Under-inflated tires can lower gas mileage by 0.4 percent for every 1 psi drop in pressure of all four tires." It further calculated a fuel economy benefit of 3 percent, or a savings of up to 12 cents per gallon, with properly inflated tires.
7. Oil companies reinvest all their profits into finding more oil
During the June 26 edition of NBC's Today, correspondent Janet Shamlian -- reporting from a Chevron Corp. oil and gas platform -- said: "Each barrel [of oil] yields about 26 gallons of gas. Criticized for record profits, companies like Chevron say every dollar coming out is going right back in to the quest for more." But Shamlian did not note that according to Chevron's 2007 annual report and a press release about its earnings for the first quarter of 2008, both of which were available before her report, a portion of Chevron's earnings goes into stock buybacks and dividend payments.
Indeed, in its first-quarter 2008 earnings press release, issued May 2, Chevron "announced a 12 percent increase in its quarterly dividend on common stock" and reported spending approximately $2 billion to buy back shares of its own stock during the quarter. In its 2007 annual report, released on February 28, the company stated that it had raised its dividend by 11.5 percent to 58 cents a share, and had bought back approximately $7 billion of its stock.
The Associated Press reported in a July 22 article: "The [oil] companies insist they're trying to find new oil that might help bring down gas prices, but the money they spend on exploration is nothing compared with what they spend on stock buybacks and dividends." The AP further reported: "The five biggest international oil companies plowed about 55 percent of the cash they made from their businesses into stock buybacks and dividends last year ... according to Rice University's James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy." Chevron is one of the "so-called Big Five" international oil companies, according to the Baker Institute report cited in the article. The AP reported that "[i]n the first quarter of this year, Exxon, ConocoPhillips and Chevron were all among the top 10 companies for share buybacks in the S&P 500." The article also stated that "[s]tock buybacks are common throughout corporate America, not just for Big Oil. They shrink the amount of stock on the open market, essentially increasing its value and giving individual shareholders a bigger stake in the company."
From the July 15 edition of Fox News' Special Report with Brit Hume:
HUME: President Bush's move to lift the executive ban on offshore oil drilling has many environmentalists concerned about the potential for destructive oil spills.
But would you believe that the greatest source of oil spills in the world's oceans is not the drilling industry, but something far more difficult to regulate. Correspondent William La Jeunesse explains.
[begin video clip]
LA JEUNESSE: 1969 -- an oil spill off Santa Barbara prompts Congress to put a stop to offshore drilling in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans.
Almost 40 years later, the National Academy of Sciences says mother nature spills more oil into the environment than Exxon, Shell, B.P., and Chevron combined -- 63 percent of all oil in U.S. coastal waters comes from natural seepage from cracks in the earth; 32 percent from consumers in their boats and runoff from cities; 4 percent from oil tankers; and just 1 percent from offshore platforms.
DANIEL KISH (Institute for Energy Research senior vice president): The truth is that two-thirds of all the oil that comes on the beaches of the United States is natural seepage.
LA JEUNESSE: Yet many politicians and green groups say the environmental damage of another serious accident, such as the Alaska Exxon Valdez tanker spill, is not worth the risk.
DAVE DAVIS (Community Environmental Council executive director): The environment of the Valdez Sound never recovered. The economic effects are still being felt today, right? Is that worth 25 cents in your tank?
LA JEUNESSE: All energy production carries an environmental cost, but offshore oil production is radically different from what it was decades ago.
From the July 12 Wall Street Journal op-ed:
On the morning of Jan. 28, 1969, a Union Oil drilling site six miles off the coast of Santa Barbara, Calif., sprang a leak. The ensuing spill stretched for miles, killed thousands of birds, and gave America the image of wildlife and shorelines covered in black crude. That spill is widely considered to have conceived the modern environmental movement. A year later, the first Earth Day was held, followed by passage of the Clean Air Act and Clean Water Act.
After the spill, Santa Barbara residents formed an environmental group called GOO! (Get Oil Out!), one of the first community groups to oppose offshore oil drilling. Thirty-nine years later, GOO! is still around. But this April the group did something astonishing. It publicly supported an oil company's proposal to drill off the coast of Santa Barbara.
Houston-based Plains Exploration and Production Company proposed drilling 22 wells from a platform 4.7 miles from land. It made numerous concessions to the local environmental groups that would curtail drilling in about a decade -- and in the end even the adamantly "no-drilling" crowd agreed that the deal was beneficial for everyone. The Environmental Defense Center, a nonprofit environmental law firm, endorsed the plan. Abe Powell, president of GOO!, told the Los Angeles Times it was "good for the community." Terry Leftgoff, a former GOO! executive director, wrote in the Santa Barbara Independent the deal was "a brilliant proposal that finally gives the public something back: the certain removal of four offshore oil platforms, the decommissioning of a notorious industrial plant, and the reversion of rural land subjugated into oil development back into the public trust as parkland."
When an environmental group formed for the sole purpose of opposing offshore oil drilling warmly embraces a plan to drill off its own coast, you know something important has changed in our culture: Americans have recognized that offshore oil drilling is largely safe.
Since 1975, drilling in the Exclusive Economic Zone (within 200 miles of the U.S. coast) has had a 99.999% safety record, according to the Energy Information Administration, which reports that "only .001 percent of the oil produced has been spilled."
Thanks to technological advances, large spills are rare. Most spills are tiny, only a few feet in diameter. Large tanker spills, such as the Exxon Valdez in 1989, are so infrequent they account for a very small fraction of the oil that winds up in the sea.
A joint study by NASA and the Smithsonian Institution, examining several decades' worth of data, found that more oil seeps into the ocean naturally than from accidents involving tankers and offshore drilling. Natural seepage from underwater oil deposits leaks an average of 62 million gallons a year; offshore drilling, on the other hand, accounted for only 15 million gallons, the smallest source of oil leaking into the oceans.
The vast majority of the oil that finds its way into the sea comes from dry land, NASA found. Runoff from cities, roads, industrial sites and garages deposits 363 million gallons into the sea, making runoff by far the single largest source of oil pollution in the oceans. "Every year oily road runoff from a city of 5 million could contain as much oil as one large tanker spill," notes the Smithsonian exhibit, "Ocean Planet."
The second-largest source of ocean oil pollution was routine ship maintenance, accountable for 137 million gallons a year, NASA found -- more than 2.5 times the amount that comes from tanker spills and offshore drilling combined. But no one is proposing that we ban cargo and cruise ships.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
URL Changed.
http://thepoliticoinsider.blogspot.com/
How to Help Hope & Change Spread Like Wildfire
I believe we should market our ideas in the right ways, so we can continue taking the high road. I know the repubs have already laid the foundation for both parties to use the term "energy independance," but we shouldn't use that term. We should lump that term in with the corruption that America is trying to get away from.
We should market the idea that when we find alternative ways to consume less oil & gas the price will go down.
Our candidate can say I have decided to not use the term energy independance anymore, because it's a fallacy. That will piss the repugs off & inspire the MSM to marvel at how different Barack Obama is from your average politician.
What inspires the American voter is the belief that they are fighting the good fight. The signing of the Emancipation Proclamation is my best example. It didn't free the slaves, but it gave the North the moral high road it needed to unite the North, thus helping the U.S. win the Civil War.
Democrats have always made radical attempts to bring in new voters. We are now in the position to bring in new voters, demoralize republican voters & inspire a large majority of independent \ moderate thinkers to not vote for repugs.
Obama's political campaign has been about creating new ideas to motivate voters to vote. Not using the same old spinning of issues to win, thus demoralizing the voters.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
GOP energy policy is about profits, not helping public
GOP energy policy is about profits, not helping public
August 10, 2008
Richard Monroe
U.S. Rep. Roy Blunt and President Bush have been sounding off about the need to lease our natural resources to oil companies. Far from a patriotic plan to achieve energy independence for America, the Blunt/Bush proposal would, in fact, be a huge pork-barrel present to oil companies such as ExxonMobil and Chevron.
The day after leases are granted, not one additional drop of petroleum will be available, but there would certainly be a huge boon to the oil companies. Even the White House's own Energy Information Administration says the Outer Continental Shelf and ANWR would not yield noticeable amounts of oil until the 2020s and would have only an insignificant impact on prices at full production thereafter.
Since granting leases for drilling in ANWR or on the Outer Continental Shelf will have no immediate impact on fuel supplies or on fuel prices, an objective observer would necessarily be justified in wondering why Blunt, Bush and the Republican host have undertaken their "Drill here, Drill now" campaign. It is even odder that Blunt and Bush insist on leasing ANWR and the OCS, when, as U.S. Sen. John McCain had said last month, existing rigs and fields hold "abundant resources in the view of people in the business that could be exploited within a period of months." It may be that Blunt and Bush are just crazy, or it may be that Blunt and Bush are arguing an insincere position for political advantage. Either explanation is plausible, but neither gets to the pork-barrel favoritism that is demonstrably the true motivation.
Oil companies carry as assets on their balance sheets oil leases and "proven reserves." "Proven reserves," to oversimplify, are akin to warehoused goods. The immediate effect of more oil leases and more "proven reserves" is to inflate the balance sheet of energy companies. Overnight, the stock value of ExxonMobil, Chevron, Conoco Phillips and other firms would skyrocket when the accountants and comptrollers "book" these reserves. Of course, the oil leases and "proven reserves" that are the boon to ExxonMobil's corporate book value are from a legislative grant of your property, public lands in Alaska or the United States' Outer Continental Shelf.
So why would Roy Blunt gush so about the need for immediately granting the oil leases? The answer is that these oil leases would be one of the biggest, if not the biggest, pork-barrel payoffs to Blunt's financial supporters that the K-Street Project Wrecking Crew has ever proposed. It makes "The Bridge to Nowhere" look like peanuts. It makes the corn to ethanol scam look like chicken feed.
Roy Blunt's contributors include many from the energy sector, PACs and individuals associated with Halliburton, Marathon Oil and Chevron, for example. Look at www.opensecrets.org for details. What better way for Blunt to reward the executives and PACs of oil companies than to grant your property rights to them?
In the 19th century, congressmen took payoffs for grants of public land to railroad corporations. The principle is the same in the 21st century. The bottom line is that "Drill here, Drill now" is pork, not policy. Unless you benefit from energy sector stock price appreciation, "Drill here, Drill now" will not drop a penny off your gas price, your fertilizer price or heating bill. It is high time to reject the politics of corruption that "Drill here, Drill now" represents and that Roy Blunt practices. You need a congressman who will not accept lobbyist or industrial PAC funds. You need and deserve a congressman who will not push a program that would reward his campaign contributors billions at the expense of the voting public. We need a crash program for development of alternative, clean and renewable energy. We need emphasis on efficiency and conservation. We need not to use food as fuel. Above all, we do not need to grant a windfall to inflate the asset sheets of the most profitable corporations in the history of mankind.
Reject corruption; restore integrity in government. Demand policy based on facts.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
What's so bad about foreign oil?
How achieving "energy independence" would leave Americans worse off.
Joel Stein
August 8, 2008
» Discuss Article (135 Comments)
There are many things I want independence from -- incoming e-mail, the section of my wedding vows about monogamy, this bogus corporation I created to lower my taxes but now takes up all of my time, Sam Zell -- but foreign oil is not one of them. Foreign oil is my favorite kind of oil. It means other nations clog their beaches with ugly rigs, do dangerous work and suffer environmental disasters and I still get to cruise Sunset Boulevard in my yellow Mini Cooper convertible. Oil exploration is an industry America should look to expand right after alchemy research and pyramid building.
Yet Barack Obama and John McCain, in speeches and ads, have spent this week arguing about who is most serious about achieving independence from foreign energy. Both are willing to drill offshore even though that won't produce more gasoline until long after we all own electric cars. And both want to relieve gas prices by tapping the government's Strategic Petroleum Reserve, despite the fact that there's no emergency and higher prices are the only thing that has been effective at getting Americans to curb consumption of foreign oil. The only smart thing I heard was Obama's advice to fully inflate your tires, though he overlooked the fact that gas stations no longer have free air pumps, or even decent pay ones. I'm surprised he didn't tell us to save gas by not getting lost with the aid of free Amoco maps.
If the candidates wanted to be independent from all oil, I'd embrace that green goal. But they only hate foreign oil. As if foreign oil was inherently different from good, God-fearing, strong-work-ethic American oil, the kind that is ignited by freedom and burns terrorism and France. To the commodities market, there is no American oil, no American cotton, no American aluminum, no American coffee -- they all get bid on without national prejudice. Even I know that, and my academic study of commodities consists solely of watching "Trading Places."
If we were energy independent, the politicians imply, prices wouldn't go up. But if you're an oil-striking American dude -- maybe a little naive, but smart enough to know that your hot daughter Elly May is going to be better off in Beverly Hills than the Ozarks -- you're going to shop your barrels to the highest bidder in the world, not just to whiny Americans with their near-worthless dollars. More oil procured from under U.S. soil means more oil on the global market, not more oil for just us.
And yet the candidates talk as if the U.S. were one giant energy-buying socialist entity that can choose exactly where all its oil comes from. The U.S. market consists of millions of individual global transactions, some of which you make at the gas station. According to the federal Energy Information Administration, last year, the U.S. bought oil from 90 countries and exported oil to 73.
A country is not stronger if it produces everything itself. Econ 101 teaches you that everyone benefits when people who are good at one thing, such as having oil, can exchange it with people who are good at something else, such as sitting in offices and surfing the Web.
And even if we cut down on imported oil, we're still dependent on other nations. We import electricity from Mexico and Canada. We import 20% of our natural gas and 80% of the uranium for nuclear reactors. All of our solar power is directly imported from the sun.
If being independent from foreign oil is good, so would being independent from foreign fish, foreign cars, foreign beer and foreign movies. Do you want to live in a world without Spanish mackerel, Priuses, Guinness or Mr. Bean?
Self-sufficiency won't make us safer either. Sure, if we went to war with Saudi Arabia and Venezuela and Russia and Mexico and Canada at once, moving our armies around would be tough, but that would be the least of our worries: We'd have some kind of mob-funded, hockey-goon, masked-wrestler army at our door. Outside that scenario, energy interdependence makes us more secure. When Hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit in 2005, for instance, we got oil to the ravaged Gulf Coast by buying extra from Venezuela and the Netherlands.
Robert Bryce, the author of the new book "Gusher of Lies: The Dangerous Delusions of Energy Independence," is sure the presidential candidates know all of this. "The rhetoric is helping to support multibillion-dollar boondoggles like the ethanol scam," he said. "When they say, 'energy independence,' they mean, 'Vote for me.' It's all it means."
The only solution to our energy panic, I believe, is to get monthly bills for gasoline, just like we do for water, electricity and cellphone minutes. All that staring at those hundredths of a cent speeding by on a gauge is bound to make people crazy, lashing out at foreigners and large corporations. If bartenders attached one of those things to their taps, we'd have candidates promising independence from foreign beer too.
Energy Independence: A Bi-Partisan Pander
By Gregory Scoblete
If there is one issue that brings out the worst in our politicians (and us) it is energy.
The debate over a national energy policy is bathed in a miasma of self-serving myths and demagoguery.
While Barack Obama and John McCain diverge on many energy issues, there is one theme that unites them: both believe the U.S. needs to become "energy independent." Following President Bush's declaration that the U.S. is "addicted to oil," Americans have routinely told pollsters that energy independence is an important goal. According to a 2006 poll from the non partisan research group Public Agenda, close to 90 percent of Americans said the lack of energy independence endangered national security.
Like Santa Claus, energy independence is an alluring figment of our imagination. Unlike Santa, this illusory phantom isn't peddled as a harmless fairy tale to kids but to voting age Americans by supposedly serious politicians. It began with President Nixon, gravely intoning that by "the year 1980, the United States will not be dependent on any other country for the energy we need to provide our jobs, to heat our homes, and to keep our transportation moving." The spectacular and demonstrable failure to achieve this goal has yet to persuade any of Nixon's successors, and potential successors, to set more realistic goals.
The journalist Robert Bryce documents the collective fantasy of energy independence in his book, Gusher of Lies: The Dangerous Delusions of Energy Independence. "America's appetite is simply too large and the global market is too sophisticated and too integrated for the U.S. to secede," he writes. Yet the delusions endure.
To understand the immensity of the challenge of achieving true energy independence, it's worth reading the words of former Intel CEO Andy Grove. Writing in the American magazine, Grove observed that while oil is a global commodity that moves to the highest bidder, electricity is "sticky" - "it stays on the continent where it is produced." To achieve energy independence, then, would require shifting America's energy consumption entirely to the grid.
That means everything - industrial power generation, cars, trucks, planes, boats, home and commercial heating - would need to be powered by electricity. Have you flown in a battery-powered plane lately?
Of course, we use oil for more than just transportation: it is a lubricant and a feedstock for a variety of industrial chemicals. After we exhaust our own domestic supplies of oil, someone would need to engineer an alternative.
Lost in the fantasy of energy independence is any honest discussion of what, exactly, the point of the effort would be. It is a staple of the liberal indictment against President Bush that he should have announced a "Manhattan Project" after 9/11 to push the country off of oil. But what would that have accomplished?
The challenge of Islamic radicalism is an urgent problem in the here and now. Even if the U.S. were to fundamentally revamp its energy infrastructure in a crash program that would make Stalin blush, it would take decades to transition to an all-electrical power energy economy. If we are still seriously threatened by Islamic jihadism in 2030, it's a good bet a plug-in hybrid won't be much help.
Nor would American energy independence deprive Saudi Arabia or Iran of income. The growing economies of China and India - some two billion people - will continue to consume their oil and natural gas. Since terrorism is inherently inexpensive, even a drop in oil prices to 1990s levels (when al Qaeda was ascendant) would be sufficient to fund terror attacks or foment radicalism.
That energy independence is a solution in search of a problem has not stopped the two presidential contenders from debasing themselves on its behalf.
John McCain's staff has begun to distribute tire pressure gauges at campaign events to mock Barack Obama's suggestion that properly inflated tires would reduce oil consumption. "We're not going to achieve energy independence by inflating our tires," McCain said.
It's obvious what the McCain camp is trying to do. Ever since Jimmy Carter sat before the nation in a cardigan sweater and had the temerity to suggest that we turn down the thermostat, conservation has become an object of ridicule among conservatives. In crafting a national energy strategy in 2001, Vice President Dick Cheney dismissed conservation as a "personal virtue" not up to the challenge of providing the nation's energy. Rather than have individuals take a measure of personal responsibility for mitigating energy costs, Cheney argued, the government would handle it.
But there is an irony at the heart of McCain's tire gauge mockery - it repudiates a central theme of his campaign. McCain has frequently referred to the need for Americans to sacrifice for "a cause greater than self." He has encouraged Americans to volunteer for military service. He has called the battle against Islamic extremism a "transcendent challenge" requiring national sacrifice. In a stump speech he even indicated that "true happiness... can only be found by serving causes greater than self-interest."
In the litany of sacrifices one is exhorted to make on behalf of the country (and your own happiness), keeping your tires properly inflated is apparently a bridge too far.
Not to be outdone, Obama has waded in with his own panders. In a speech in Michigan, he suggested that we levy a "windfall profits" tax on oil companies. Implausibly implying that the oil companies - not global demand and instability in oil producing regions - are responsible for the run-up in gas prices, Obama insists that the government should be empowered to determine the appropriate level of profitability for private industry (just one industry though, similar suggestions are not floated for law firms, Hollywood studios or other Democratic donors).
Obama has also suggested that we tap into the strategic petroleum reserve to alleviate the burden of higher prices. Releasing oil from the strategic reserve may, temporarily, bring prices down, but it would be reckless. It would do nothing to address the cause of higher prices, while simultaneously reducing America's capacity to respond to a real national emergency (the actual purpose of the reserve).
By promising energy independence, both campaigns have engaged in a sideshow. An intellectually honest debate on energy would take as a given the impossibility of independence and instead focus on realistic measures that would improve America's overall energy security while debating what cost, if any, should be imposed on carbon-emitting energy sources. Addressing the twin concerns of energy cost and environmental impact can be done without recourse to fantasy.
Indeed, true independence will only be achieved when we can harness the voluminous quantities of hot air being generated by our political leaders. That, at least, appears to be an infinitely renewable resource.
Gregory Scoblete is a freelance writer based in New Jersey.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
McCain/Exxon '08
People who attempt to discredit Energy Independence are shills for big oil, the GOP, or both. I googled Scoblete, and sure enough, he mostly writes conservative articles for RealClearPolitics.com.
How Democrats made your gas cheaper
Updated: Oil @ $115: How Democrats made your gas cheaper...
by Steven R
Fri Aug 08, 2008 at 10:28:55 AM PDT
Thank you for taking this onto the Rec list... Democrats are ignoring a goldmine
This spring while Oil prices soared, debate festered between various factions as to whether supply/demand vs. speculators were causing the energy markets to rocket up. In case you haven't noticed, Oil markets are crashing and only one real actual thing has happened to affect this situation, and that thing was predicted to cause this exact response.... what is it?
The Democratic Congress CLOSED the Enron Loophole in the Farm Bill on June 22nd
Take Credit NOW PLEASE!!! The MSM is claiming there is a fear of soft economic growth... This is laughable as oil went up and up through the spring and summer as it became common for the MSM and everyone else to talk slow growth, recession, etc... Something else happened, something the press is ignoring as well as our Party, at our own peril.
Paper trail and links to back this up below with graphs...
ABC News May 15
It’s the "Enron loophole," which exempts energy speculators who make trades electronically from US regulation. Some argue that the unregulated energy speculation, codified in 2000, can account for $20 to $25 in the jump in oil prices.
But now, 8 years after energy traders were able to push legislation exempting their electronic trades of energy futures from US regulation, a measure in the Farm Bill aims to close the loophole and subject futures trades made electronically inside the United States to US law.
"This bill is really our best bet to deter unscrupulous traders from manipulating energy prices and engaging in excessive speculation. This has been a long, hard road – and this is a major legislative victory," Said California Democrat Sen. Dianne Feinstein after the Senate passed the underlying Farm Bill on a broad, bipartisan basis.
Specifically, according to her office, the bill would "require electronic energy traders to provide an audit trail and record-keeping, monitor for market manipulation, and increase financial penalties for cases of market manipulation and excessive speculation."
More details on Sen Dianne Feinstein's amendment
The legislation increases transparency in energy markets to deter traders from manipulating the price of oil and natural gas futures traded on electronic markets. It requires energy traders to keep records for a minimum of five years so there is transparency and an audit trail. It requires electronic energy traders to report trading in significant price discovery contracts to the CFTC so that the agency would have the information to effectively oversee the energy futures market. Manipulators could then be identified and punished by the CFTC.
The bill gives the CFTC new authority to punish manipulation, fraud, and price distortion. It requires electronic trading platforms to actively monitor their markets to prevent manipulation and price distortion of contracts that are significant in determining the price of the market.
One prime genesis of the measure was the fact that, when the Amaranth hedge fund was directed to reduce its position in regulated natural gas contracts, it simply moved its position to an unregulated exchange. The bill would essentially say that similar contracts on ICE and NYMEX will be regulated the same way. Last October, the four CFTC Commissioners released a report underscoring the critical need for increased oversight in U.S. energy markets. According to Sen. Feinstein, this bill includes what they asked for.
So Sen Dianne Feinstein gets primary credit for this measure, widely reported previously by MSNBC and Keith Olbermann to have been the brain child on McCain campaign adviser Phil Gramm.
Barack Obama has strongly stood in defense of this closure while the McCain campaign defended it and then skipped the vote. Further, Barack Obama seeks to increase the strength of closing this loophole.
"My plan fully closes the Enron loophole and restores commonsense regulation as part of my broader plan to ease the burden for struggling families today while investing in a better future," Obama said in a campaign statement.
Obama's campaign said the candidate would go further by requiring that U.S. energy futures be traded on regulated exchanges.
Obama also would ask the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to consider whether traders should be subject to higher margin requirements. He also would work with other countries to regulate energy markets and press the Federal Trade Commission and the Department of Justice to investigate possible market manipulation.
The campaign said Obama's proposal is part of his broader energy strategy that calls for reducing oil consumption by 35 percent by 2030.
This was all predicted beforehand.
On the other hand, in a single step tomorrow --- closing the Enron Loophole --- Congress and George Bush could create an overnight drop in oil prices of between 25 and 50 percent. This is according to testimony before a Senate Committee two weeks ago by Michael Greenberger, the former director of Trading & Markets for the Commodities Future Trading Commission (CFTC), the government board that oversees commodities markets.
"Yes," Greenberger testified, "overnight [closing the Enron Loophole] will bring down the price of crude oil to get at least a 25 percent drop in the cost of oil and a corresponding drop in the cost of gasoline. Some people estimate 50 percent."
And what's happened to oil since June 22nd, that date that the Bush/McCain vetoe was overridden by the Democratic Congress?
Light Sweet Down HUGE
title=
Brent Crude Oil Down HUGE
title=
Home Heating Oil down HUGE
title=
If Barack Obama and the Democratic congress want to break through on the Energy issue, I strongly suggest that they highlight this success loudly and often as Gas prices plummet on corner after corner while credit is clearly due to the action taken with this closure.
Update: The great oil bubble has burst
Almost like clockworth, the press is starting to notice that Supply and Demand simply don't mesh with today's reality.
Bad news from the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline - an installation that may not normally draw much of your attention, but which is a throbbing artery of global energy supply, carrying vital oil supplies from Central Asia towards a tanker terminal on the Turkish coast. On some remote, sun-baked plain of Anatolia, an explosion sparked a fire earlier this week, temporarily cutting the flow through the pipeline.
But guess what? Here's the good news: the oil price did not zoom upwards in response, not a blip, barely a flicker. Actually the price of a barrel of crude has been falling: from a peak of $145 in early July, it came down to $117 and was trading yesterday at $120. That's almost a 20 per cent drop in little more than three weeks.
Just possibly, it means that what investors refer to in shorthand as the great "oil up" story has finally revealed itself not as the fundamental reflection of scarce supply that its adherents liked to claim, but as a simple, speculative bubble that was always going to burst.
Oh, and Russia invaded Georgia... and oil still drops. Pure supply and demand talk provides cover for the speculators and the speculators are the gasoline on the fire so to say... as soon as the price turned around, with the Enron loophole gone and no longer allowing traders to legally manipulate the price, the floor falls out...
The only questions now are:
How far will it fall?
- $60~$100 by October?
Who will take the credit?
- Obviously no new "supply" came, rather demand dropped... Inflating tires drops demand, so does conservation and efficiency... Demo win
- Enron Loophole closure shut down speculation.... Demo win
UPDATE II: More Action Needed
Hat Tip to the most excellent catch by skymutt for an essential reading primer article that more clearly spells out what happened... I'll summaries here, but you can read the whole thing here
I. What is Speculation exactly
Here's how speculation works. Essentially, a speculator can buy a stock and keep buying shares of that stock. Every time that person buys the stock, his shares from the day before would be worth more. He could do this day after day and the price of his holdings would keep moving up. The person could make a ton of money on his trailing positions. Since the speculator can use huge leverage, money is free and almost unlimited.
"Add to the speculation the fact that major financial firms are essentially stoking the fire to their own benefit," says Horowitz. "I discussed this phenomenon in a recent podcast with Greenberger, and he basically confirmed my fears. Investment firms--Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, for example--make predictions about how high oil prices could go. Goldman has predicted $200 while Morgan Stanley made a prediction that prices would reach $150 by July 4. Greenberger said that many suspect these firms have bets heading in the direction of their predictions."
II. What did the bill actually accomplish
As it turns out, says Horowitz, the passing of the recent Farm Bill gives reason to believe that there might be. The Farm Bill includes a provision called the CFTC Reauthorization Act, which closes the Enron Loophole for the natural gas market. The Act leaves open what is called the London-Dubai Loophole, which allows US contracts for crude oil traded online through foreign exchanges to go unregulated even though the computers being used for the trading are in the US.
III. Work still ongoing; i.e. a CAMPAIGN ISSUE!!!!
However, now there is work being done on the Hill to close up the London-Dubai Loophole. On Thursday, June 26, the House of Representatives approved a bill that would allow the CFTC to enact emergency measures to "maintain or restore orderly trading." The catch is that the CFTC has said it will use this power to curb only manipulation, not speculation.
"When I spoke to him recently, Greenberger pointed out that there is a new piece of legislation from Congress that if passed instructs the CFTC to look for manipulation in all markets," says Horowitz. "The idea is that just the passing of such an Act could start to bring down the price of oil because traders who are back under the watch of the public eye won't try to get away with some of the things they have been doing.
So essentially while it's not directly linked to the Oil markets, there is legislation out right now and by virtue, campaign issues, which can certainly tamp down market manipulation via regulation by closing the London-Dubai Loophole (new talking point?) and rooting out manipulation.
Comments below suggest that dampening global demand may also be to blame. Also obviously changes in the Euro and improving dollar are also lowering oil prices. However increased regulation via legislation likewise does have an effect; more of an effect infact than simple "calls to drill more" which are little other than hot air. Regulation makes Manipulation illegal, and creating a regulatory environment to crack down on this practice will both be a political winner and an effective tool in mitigating energy price increases. Pointing to lowered energy costs and taking credit for it is a winner for Democrats IMO... one they need to seize upon as there is more opportunity to push further loop hole closures and regulation to prevent oil from going nutz again...
This is a you tube link that of Keith Olbermann showing how Phil gram & family used their power to manipulated the market
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaDelhvtQ98
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
Now THIS is good stuff!
Obama needs to step up and take the offensive with stuff like this.
Check the Youtubes Out
I believe the path will open soon. Becuase energy independance dosn't mean put our precious oil on the global market.
When a repub use the term energy independence, they are not talking about the same energy independance most Americans are thinking. Repub energy independence wont lower the price of gas; it will only make the profits of the oil execs & their share holders larger.
Here is another example of politrics for idiots. Newt Gangrene makes it look like the oil will be drilled, refined & sent to your local store, lowering our price of gas. Gas is drilled & sent to a global market & the global market dictates the price & sent back to the gas station.
How do we stop China & India from consuming the extra oil we drill?
Drill Here. Drill Now. Pay Less.
http://www.youtube.com/v/sLd_xUUR4Bg&hl=en&fs=1
1,000,000 Americans Join 'Drill Here, Drill Now' Movement
http://www.youtube.com/v/nXAFY9d_MpU&hl=en&fs=1
How to Lower High Gas Prices
http://www.youtube.com/v/-ZIYuCGxKhQ&hl=en&fs=1
P.S. I may be wrong & I am trying to get a clear understanding of how the repubs are working the scam .
The Scam of Energy Independence
Thursday, August 07, 2008
John McCain keeps talking about making the US "energy independent."
Robert Bryce points out that it is impossible for the United States to be energy independent with current technology.
McCain says nuclear energy can make the US independent of "foreign oil." But the US imports 83% of the uranium it uses!
By the way, if you built a lot of new nuclear reactors, it would cause the price of uranium to go up. There is only so much uranium in the world, so we will have "Peak uranium" after a few years if we go that route.
McCain keeps saying that the US navy has run subs on nuclear power for years and there have been no leaks.
Ahem.
McCain says drilling in the United States can make the US energy independent. Hogwash! HOGWASH. All the offshore fields now known off the lower 48 states, if drilled, might produce 400,000 barrels a day ten to fifteen years from now.
The US imports on the order of 13 million barrels a day of petroleum. The world produces 86 million barrels a day and apparently wants 87. Offshore drilling in the US would yield a drop in the bucket.
In the meantime, China's oil imports were up 12% last year over the year before. The extra oil from offshore drilling would just get used up lickety split.
McCain calls "foreign oil" expensive!
It is all one global market,folks. Once oil is pumped and goes on the market, it sells for the same price everywhere (except if there are government subsidies, which are a huge waste of money and very bad economics). It doesn't matter if it is pumped in Oklahoma or Ahvaz, it is priced the same.
Muhammad Sahimi makes this point at some length.
Moreover, getting more fossil fuels out of the ground will produce more global warming, ravaging the world's coastlines and their inhabitants. Again, it doesn't matter whether American carbon is put into the atmosphere or Chinese. It is all one atmosphere.
The only prospect for US energy independence is cheap and effective power generation from wind and solar energy, which needs new, cheaper and better methods of battery or other storage to be practical.
Obama's pledge to invest $150 billion in alternative energy is a promising first step. That is a little more than what the Apollo project cost the US in today's dollars. And putting a man on the moon was rather less important than, like, saving the planet.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
The Slow Leak of the Truth
Here is a nice hypothetical to define part of what has happened in the oil industry.
In 2000 the oil company made an 2% profit @ $1.19 a gal.
In 2008 the oil co. made an 8% profit @ 4.19 a gal.
The average business made a15% profit, but the retail price of the goods were reasonable so no one complained.
It wont be long before we get the bull by its horns & the Repubs are going to want to stop debating about the high price of gas.
The question is, will big money convince Obama to change the subject?
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
Oil company profits
October 31, 2005
Why aren't the big oil companies reinvesting their huge profits?
Consider the following data, taken from the Exxon-Mobil 2004 annual report. The company earned $26.1 billion in 2004 and reported capital and exploration expenditures of $14.9 billion. Looking casually at the two numbers, this might sound exactly like what we'd expect to find, namely, a company plowing a good deal of its profits back into the investments necessary to help increase future global oil and gasoline production. But when you look at the numbers more closely, it appears to be a surprisingly low level of investment spending.
For one thing, oil companies face a significant degree of depletion of existing oil fields and depreciation on previous capital investments, meaning huge investments are required just to maintain the status quo. Standard accounting conventions recognize this by subtracting depreciation and depletion as an operating expense, with the presumption being that the investment that would be necessary in order to maintain current production would be counted as a regular business expense rather than something one needs to pay for out of profits. In addition, Exxon sold off $2.8 billion in investments in 2004, which we would need to subtract if we wanted to calculate the net productive assets that the company added during 2004. Exxon also charged off $1.1 billion in dry-hole exploration as a cost before calculating profits, meaning that these funds didn't come out of the $26.1 billion profit, either. Finally, the notes to the annual report indicate that Exxon followed the accounting convention of including in capital expenditures a proportion of capital spending by interests in which Exxon holds equity, which again require no funds directly out of profits.
One way to keep track of all this is to look at the "Summary Statement of Cash Flows" in the annual report. We can calculate the cash Exxon had available to spend by starting with the $26.1 billion net income earned in 2004 and adding the $9.8 billion that Exxon imputed to depreciation and depletion expense, plus $4.7 billion in other items such as an increase in accounts payable (which, because the funds are net yet disbursed, means such items also add to cash in hand). These three magnitudes come to $40.6 billion, Exxon's calculation of the net cash provided by operating activities.
Exxon reported its 2004 actual cash expenditures for additions to property, plant, and equipment to be $12.0 billion, which, if we subtract the $2.8 billion sales of assets, implies $9.2 billion in net capital additions. This is actually less than the $9.8 billion depreciation and depletion figure, which one might interpret as meaning that virtually none of the tremendous 2004 profits were used to acquire net new assets. So what did Exxon do with all the rest of the money? Seven billion went to dividends, $9 billion to net stock buybacks, and an incredible $12.5 billion was just hoarded as cash.
Nor was Exxon alone in this behavior. For example, ChevronTexaco had 2004 net income of $13.3 billion, which it used to accumulate $5 billion in cash and buy back $2.1 billion of its stock.
How are companies that behave in this way going to succeed in increasing oil production? The answer is, they aren't. The graph at the right, taken from the Oil Drum, displays production over the last 3-1/2 years for the top 10 publicly traded oil companies. Half of these giants have seen their production fall over this period.
And prices and profits have continued to surge in 2005. The table below summarizes how much profits and capital spending went up in the first three quarters of this year compared to the corresponding quarters last year for three of the companies that reported big profit gains this week. Only a modest fraction of the increase in profits for these companies is showing up so far as additional investment.
So what's the story? Maybe the oil companies are hoarding the cash in preparation for big investments just down the road. But we really could have used those investments several years ago, not several years from now. Or perhaps companies see enough danger of an oil price collapse that they are unwilling to make investments that would only pay if oil prices remain high. But if that's the explanation, it's unclear why they don't take the sure profit and hedge that's available from using futures prices. Alternatively, some might say that the only remaining plays at this point are in the control of governments, not oil companies, with the incipient decline in production by the international majors another milestone on the path to peak oil.
I must confess that I find it puzzling why it would make sense in the current situation to hoard cash and buy back shares. If anyone has a good explanation, I'd be very interested to hear.
http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2005/10/oil_company_pro.html
Springfield adds hybrid cars to parks fleet
Thursday, August 07, 2008
By PETER GOONAN
pgoonan@repub.com
SPRINGFIELD - The city has purchased four hybrid cars for use by the Parks Department, and will consider buying similar gasoline-efficient vehicles in the future following a study of costs and savings.
The purchase of the 2009 Ford Escape Hybrids is being done on a trial basis, with delivery anticipated by the end of the year. The new cars will be used primarily by park department managers in their oversight of parks and programs and related travel, said Patrick J. Sullivan, director of parks, buildings and recreation management.
The four new cars are the first hybrid vehicles purchased by the city.
"We felt it was very important for the city under the mayor's directive to 'go green' wherever possible," Sullivan said. "We want to see this hopefully expand as we find, and we know we will find, gas savings and cleaner air in the city of Springfield."
The cars were purchased at a cost of $28,300 each from Stoneham Motor Corp. of Massachusetts.
Sullivan will drive one of the cars. All four cars will replace older department vehicles and will be shared with other departments at times, he said.
Sullivan, Mayor Domenic J. Sarno, and other city officials announced the purchase Wednesday at Forest Park, with one hybrid car on loan for display.
According to Ford Motor Company, the hybrids meet "Super Ultra Low Emissions Vehicle and Advanced Technology Partial Zero Emission Vehicle standards," a city press release stated. The cars get 34 miles per gallon in city driving and use no fuel when stopped or driving at low speeds as powered by electric motors, according to Ford.
"I am excited for the arrival of these vehicles and what it will mean for the overall health of the environment," Sarno said. "Sometimes you have to make some type of investments in the short term to save some money down the road and not only be environmentally friendly, but it's the right move."
The city initially planned to purchase the 2008 model, but missed the production time table. The 2009 Escape Hybrid is under production and should be delivered to the city by late fall or early winter, officials said.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
Solar Power Hits Home
Thursday, Aug. 07, 2008
By Bryan Walsh
There were limits to how green Bruce Letvin was willing to go. For years, the 53-year-old anatomy professor had wanted to install solar panels on his Manhattan Beach, Calif., home. But the up-front installation costs always outweighed the benefits for the environment and his conscience. This spring, however, he managed to work out green financing with the help of solar company SunPower. After determining that his electricity bills and roof exposure were large enough to make him a good candidate for its solar panels, the company, based in San Jose, Calif., helped him find a 15-year loan for the $64,500 system. Yes, his $550 loan payment is more than the $300 or so he used to spend each month on electricity bills--so far, he has generated enough solar power that he doesn't need to take any juice from the grid--but after he pays off the loan, his power will be free. And this year, he'll get a $16,000 rebate in the form of federal and state tax incentives for solar. "I really wouldn't have been able to do this without the financing," he says. "But with [the loan], it's a no-brainer."
That stiff up-front cost has always been the biggest barrier to residential use of solar power. An average set of rooftop panels costs $20,000 to $30,000 and takes 10 to 15 years to produce enough electricity to pay for itself--a deal not unlike asking a new cell-phone owner to pay in advance for a decade's worth of minutes. But that equation will change as the cost of solar panels drops and the price of fossil-fuel-generated electricity rises. (Letvin's utility provider just put in for a 30% rate increase for the heaviest power users.) Photovoltaic solar installations were up 45% last year compared with 2006, with about a third of those systems going on residential roofs. And now solar companies and banks are helping homeowners stretch the cost over the lifetime of the panels, and sunny California is at the forefront of this trend. In April, SolarCity, one of the biggest panel installers in the state, began offering no-money-down leases for home installation. Says ceo Lyndon Rive: "If you had the choice of using clean power over dirty power and paying less for it, wouldn't you take it?"
Sure, solar panels are a hefty investment, and credit markets are tightening up. But with carbon caps looming on the horizon and power supplies running short, customers like John Stubblebine of Cupertino, Calif., can insulate themselves from future electricity shocks. A technology consultant, he financed a $35,000 system with a 15-year lease from SolarCity. "If the worst forecasts are true, I'll come out a big winner," he says.
Still, solar isn't for every home. Different parts of the U.S. receive vastly different amounts of sunlight, so a solar panel in sun-drenched Las Vegas will always be more productive than one in cloudy Seattle. Incentives vary from state to state and can tip the numbers as well. But financing means that at least you won't need a lot of excess green to go green.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/
Senate's Gang of 10 offers an offshore drilling plan
Compromise would open some areas to exploration
By DAVID IVANOVICH Copyright 2008 Houston Chronicle Washington Bureau
Aug. 1, 2008, 11:35PM
WASHINGTON — A bipartisan group of senators Friday unveiled a compromise energy plan that would open new areas in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico and Southeast Atlantic to oil and gas drilling, while raising taxes on the major oil companies.
Hoping to break a stalemate that has kept the nation's energy policy in idle even as gasoline prices soared, the self-styled Gang of 10 would allow producers to explore as close as 50 miles off Florida's Gulf coast.
The oil companies also would be able to hunt for crude 50 miles off the beaches of Virginia, the Carolinas and Georgia — if those states agree.
With its proposal, the group is hoping to send a signal to the markets that "America is serious about becoming independent of foreign oil," said Sen. Saxby Chambliss, R-Ga., a leader of the effort.
The $84 billion New Energy Reform Act would fund an effort — which its backers liken to the Apollo moon landing program — to transform the nation's cars and trucks, with a goal of having 85 percent of new vehicles on the road run on nonpetroleum-based fuels within 20 years.
Excluding oil majors
To pay for their proposal, lawmakers would raise the major oil companies' taxes by excluding them from tax credits that apply to other manufacturers.
"Frankly, there was a lot of dispute at the time it was granted to them," said Sen. Kent Conrad, D-N.D. "Circumstances have changed. With oil at these levels, we don't think that manufacturers' credit is necessary to encourage them to explore and produce oil and gas."
Neither of the major party presidential candidates — Democratic Sen. Barack Obama and Republican Sen. John McCain — is in the Gang of 10.
On the campaign trail Friday, Obama appeared to soften his opposition to offshore drilling.
"My interest is in making sure we've got the kind of comprehensive energy policy that can bring down gas prices," Obama said in an interview with The Palm Beach Post. "I don't want to be so rigid that we can't get something done," Obama is quoted as saying.
McCain supports opening federal waters to drilling, and reiterated his position Friday.
"We need oil drilling and we need it now offshore," he said.
The five Democrats and five Republicans in the Gang of 10 released the energy plan as lawmakers were leaving the capital for the start of their August recess and just two days after a bipartisan group in the House offered its own, even more extensive offshore drilling plan.
Energy has emerged as a major election year issue.
Sticking around in House
On Friday, a group of Republicans in the House protested House inaction on energy by refusing to leave the House floor for more than five hours after the chamber adjourned for the summer, McClatchy Newspapers reported.
Rep. Ted Poe, R-Humble, one of the revolt's ringleaders, told McClatchy it was sparked by the refusal of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., to allow House floor votes on drilling. At its peak, 47 Republican representatives spoke in a dimmed chamber without microphones while hundreds of visitors filled the House chamber and the galleries.
The Gang of 10 proposal would encourage states to allow drilling off their shores by sharing some of the federal offshore royalty revenues with the states.
But unlike the other four states, Florida would not get a choice on whether to allow drilling off its coasts.
When asked why not, Chambliss said, "It's only a logical extension of what's happening in the Gulf right now. Plus, that area has been identified as an area where resources are available right now."
But the proposal, coming just two years after passage of a carefully crafted compromise that opened a portion of the eastern Gulf, was met by almost immediate opposition from Florida's senators — Democrat Bill Nelson and Republican Mel Martinez.
Nelson has already has told Senate leadership "if anybody wants to drill off Florida, they'll have a fight on their hands," Nelson spokesman Dan McLaughlin said in an e-mail.
Martinez, in a statement, said: "Unfortunately, the proposal would eliminate Florida's 2006 Gulf protections and give Floridians absolutely no voice in determining where exploration could occur."
The Gang of 10 tried to avoid more opposition by limiting the new areas open for exploration, opting not to try to include the West Coast or the East Coast north of Virginia — areas where opposition might have been equally vigorous.
"We've got to start somewhere," Chambliss said. "It doesn't make a whole lot of sense just to open everything up right now and think that ... we're going to have a rush by the folks who do the exploration to go all over America."
The bill's prospects are far from certain. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said the proposal "includes some very good ideas" but added: "I do not agree with every part of it."
Texas' two Republican senators, Kay Bailey Hutchison and John Cornyn, declined immediate comment on the proposal, saying they had not had a chance to study it.
White House spokeswoman Dana Perino said administration officials will "take a look at it and see if there's aspects of it that we could embrace." But President Bush has threatened to veto bills that targeted oil companies for higher taxes.
Karen Matusic, a spokeswoman for the American Petroleum Institute, argued that higher taxes would impede efforts to maximize U.S. energy supplies.
Jim Presswood, energy advocate for the Natural Resources Defense Council, applauded the provisions that would promote use of cleaner fuels. But Presswood worries the offshore drilling provisions could be "disastrous" for coastal communities.
On Friday, light, sweet crude settled at $125.10 a barrel, up $1.02.
Members of the Gang of 10 are hopeful that while lawmakers are back home talking to their constituents over the next five weeks, support for their proposal will build.
"When we come back, we hope that colleagues will have heard from their constituents that something has to be done and done before Congress finishes its business this year," Conrad said.
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Senate's Gang of 10 offers an offshore drilling plan
This is a pawn that could undermine a lot of pieces on the Political Chess board.
McCain & his Repub base see the compromise as an issue stealer. I see the compromise as proof, showing how the repubs are not interested in energy independence, they are interested only in energy politics.
Why wouldn't a great strategist discuss their anger with the compromise in the MSM?
I would first let them talk about their disagreement for a day or two, then I would define their disagreement for what it is... POLITRICKS.
P.S. The Repubs love playing poker (bluffing) wit the MSM.
Here is a link to my blog called, "The Politico Insider."
http://thepoliticolinsider.blogspot.com/